Rick Perry most likely to drop out of race
WASHINGTON — Rick Perry’s chances for being the first candidate to drop out of the presidential race are at 33%, increasing from 10% on Monday, according to the data platform Pivit.
New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie is second to Perry at 15%, and former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore and South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham are tied for third at 12%.
The odds for Perry come after his campaign halted paying his staff in the early states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina after struggling to gain momentum and cash.
Pivit is an interactive data collection platform that has a partnership with CNN to predict outcomes of the 2016 presidential election.
Live odds will change as the public weighs in on the increasing or decreasing chance that a candidate or party wins an election. The company says it combines polls, predictive analysis, wagering markets and social sentiment to create odds on the outcome of world events.
Pivit has also predicted the odds for GOP candidates to make the CNN Sept. 16 debate in southern California.
Carly Fiorina is at 80% to participate in the CNN/Reagan Library presidential debate. Her odds are up from Aug. 2, when she was at 10%.
Christie’s chances, however, have fallen. According to Pivit, on July 8 he had an 80% chance of making the CNN/Reagan Library presidential debate, but now has just a 25% chance.
The platform is also predicting that former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has the highest chance of winning the GOP nomination at 30%. Real estate mogul Donald Trump and Sen. Marco Rubio, who Pivit declared were the winners of the Fox News GOP debate, are at 7% and 15%, respectively.
By Daniella Diaz