Jaco – Changing Demographics Will Stop GOP Wins

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ST. LOUIS, MO (KPLR) - If you want a geeking good read about the changing face of America, the 2012 election and why so many white conservatives see this as their last chance to,"Take Our Country Back" I recommend a piece by Ron Brownstein in the National Journal. The headline is, "Obama Needs 80 Percent Of Minority Vote To Win 2012 Election". But the real news is not the minority vote. It is the shrinking white vote.

Specifically, the articled quotes an unnamed republican strategist who lays out the math for Mitt Romney. The strategist says because republicans have so few votes among Hispanic and African-American voters that Mitt romney has to win a shade over sixty per-cent of the white vote in order to be elected. Then the stratgeist talks about the booming minority population in the U.S.

And he concludes that as older, white, conservative voters matter less and less. No campaign will ever be able to try to win an election after this by mobilizing a giant share of the white vote. Quote, "This is the last time anyone will try to do this." That's because of the changing face of america. Over one-fourth of all US births last year were to Hispanics.  For the first tim in 2011 white births in America amounted to less than half the total.

This year, that means three of the states George W. Bush won in 2004.  Colorado, New Mexico and Colorado are leaning toward President Obama. That's because of the Hispanic vote. It won't be too many more election cycles before deep red states like Texas and Arizona also start to lean democratic, also because of hispanics.

If this election was just about the economy Romney could probably win fairly easily. But it's also about changing demographics. Without several million more African-American and Hispanic conservatives the republicans face a very uncertain future.

I'm Charles Jaco and that's Jacology.