Jacology: Political Demographics

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Yesterday, we took a look at how so many politicians are talking about 2012 as if it's an apocalypse. Santorum says this is America’s last chance. Romney says we're inches from no longer having a free economy. Wyoming lawmakers voted to set up preparations for the financial and social collapse of the u.s.  Birthers claim the president's illegitimate because he's not an American.

American conservatives may have a reason to panic. But it's political, not social. And it's the result of a changing America. The numbers tell the story. The non-white population is increasing. In the last election, 2008, non-whites made up one-fourth of the electorate. Two elections from now, in the year 2020, they'll be one third of the electorate.

Non-whites tend to vote democratic. This is why places like Colorado are in play for the democrats and Nevada and Arizona soon will be. All are rapidly becoming more Latino. But there's an education as well as a racial tide going on. While most white Americans vote republican for president, white Americans with graduate degrees go democratic. And with an influx of educated whites, North Carolina and Virginia have suddenly become swing states.

Like every democratic presidential candidate since 1968, Barack Obama lost the white vote in 2008. He also lost among voters older than 45. But the older white demographic is shrinking.  So when south Carolina republican senator Jim DeMint writes in his book, “Now or Never”, that quote, “The 2012 election may be the last opportunity for Republicans”; he may not be far off, but not for economic or cultural reasons.

America is very quickly becoming younger and browner. And an American conservative movement that's positioned itself as older and whiter, is in deep demographic trouble.

I'm Charles Jaco and that's Jacology.

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