Jacology: Voting Blocks
(KPLR) – In Thursdays Jacology, Charles Jaco explains why how you vote may say less about your politics and more about your life.
Almost more than ever, voting this election will be broken down along racial, ethnic, religious and demographic lines. Or as former George W. Bush speechwriter David Frum wrote, we’re not having an election. We’re having a census.
President Obama, no surprise here, is set to win the African-American vote; which is putting things mildly. African-Americans make up roughly 13 percent of American voters. Four years ago Obama won 96 percent of the black vote. There might not be a North Korean election type of margin like that, but black folks will vote overwhelmingly for Obama.
The president will also win the Hispanic vote. Hispanics make up about 11 percent of the voting population and the newest survey from the pew foundation finds between 75 and 80 percent of Hispanic voters will go for Obama. The survey finds most of those voters turned off by anti-immigrant rhetoric from the Republican Party, despite the social conservatism of most Hispanics.
Ever since 1968 the majority of white voters have gone republican in every presidential election. This year might set a record, though. White voters make up between 70 and 75 percent of the total vote. Those are huge numbers. And four recent national polls show Romney winning over 60 percent of the white vote and that could turn the election for Romney.
College educated voters go for Obama. Regular church goers go for Romney. Younger voters trend toward Obama, while their grandparents are overwhelmingly for Romney. Your vote in November will probably say as much about your demographics as it does about your politics.
I’m Charles Jaco and that’s Jacology.